Featured in 2025 Unboxed – 02-2025

Forecasting matters

The history of the global solar industry has had a pervasive feature: modelers have consistently missed PV’s meteoric rise. Toby D. Couture and David Jacobs, coordinators of the think tank Global Solar PV Brain Trust, report on their latest findings.
Max Hall
By
Max Hall

 Forecasting agencies and international organizations have repeatedly failed to accurately anticipate solar’s growth. With more than 2 TW of solar installed globally, and a remarkable streak of performance and cost improvements in recent years, solar power is poised to transform the global energy system. As grid constraints are eased with the help of energy storage, …

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