PV installations in China to reach 13.5 GW, including 4 GW of rooftop, says IHS


Market research group IHS is sticking with its previous forecast of distributed PV (DPV) power in China this year despite some industry estimates at this year’s SNEC PV Power Expo in Shanghai of a markedly smaller rollout.

Speaking to pv magazine, Ash Sharma, senior director of Solar Research at IHS Technology, agrees that "there are concerns over China's ability to install distributed PV and so far this year, demand has been weak in China. However we do still expect around 4 GW of distributed PV to be installed this year and total installations to reach approximately 13.5 GW."

A number of industry sources attending the Shanghai confab reckoned with about 6 GWp of ground-mounted PV and just 1 GWp of rooftop solar this year due mainly to the lack of regulations covering government incentives for distributed PV. Some added that they hoped they would be able to build more large-scale plants and push ground-mounted PV capacity up to about 10 MW this year.

Sharma is confident that Chinese policymakers will soon introduce new regulations, however.

"We are predicting that new policy will be unveiled by the government in the coming months to support the development of DPV," he said, adding that government action would provide better policy on financing of such projects.

While stating that IHS stood by its earlier forecast, Sharma said there was "a possibility that some of the DPV quota gets shifted to utility-scale."

"If the roof-top segment remains slow, we expect that policy will be adjusted to allow more large-scale projects."

IHS predicted in March that China would install 4.8 GW of rooftop PV and 8 GW of ground-mounted PV this year for a total of 12.8 GW. China originally stated a DPV goal for the year of 8 GW.

Popular content

This content is protected by copyright and may not be reused. If you want to cooperate with us and would like to reuse some of our content, please contact: editors@pv-magazine.com.


Related content

Elsewhere on pv magazine...

Leave a Reply

Please be mindful of our community standards.

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

By submitting this form you agree to pv magazine using your data for the purposes of publishing your comment.

Your personal data will only be disclosed or otherwise transmitted to third parties for the purposes of spam filtering or if this is necessary for technical maintenance of the website. Any other transfer to third parties will not take place unless this is justified on the basis of applicable data protection regulations or if pv magazine is legally obliged to do so.

You may revoke this consent at any time with effect for the future, in which case your personal data will be deleted immediately. Otherwise, your data will be deleted if pv magazine has processed your request or the purpose of data storage is fulfilled.

Further information on data privacy can be found in our Data Protection Policy.